Hawaii Hurricane Archive

Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC

Hurricane Madeline (2016)

Madeline came within 130 km of Hawaii, passing to the south-east as a tropical storm on 31 August 2016. It had peaked far out at sea at 115 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 06:00 UTC on 27 August 2016 the official forecast had it passing within 1 km of Hawaii about 125 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.

Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
Satellite photo of Hurricane Madeline (2016)
Madeline on 31 August 2016 — NASA Worldview / GIBS (EOSDIS)
Peak intensity
115 kt (132 mph) Category 4
Lowest pressure
950 mb
Closest pass
130 km (81 mi) from Hawaii
When
31 August 2016
Distance from Honolulu
494 km (307 mi)
Lifetime
8 days 26 August 2016 – 3 September 2016
Official forecasts
30
Approached from the
south-east

The closest pass

At its closest, Madeline was 130 km (81 mi) from Hawaii on 31 August 2016, as a tropical storm with 60 kt (69 mph) winds, approaching from the south-east.

The forecasts

The archive holds 30 official forecast packages for Madeline, issued between 26 August 2016 and 3 September 2016. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.

Lead timeMean track error
24 h46 nm
48 h66 nm
72 h106 nm

Other close passes at Hawaii