Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Madeline came within 130 km of Hawaii, passing to the south-east as a tropical storm on 31 August 2016. It had peaked far out at sea at 115 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 06:00 UTC on 27 August 2016 the official forecast had it passing within 1 km of Hawaii about 125 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Madeline was 130 km (81 mi) from Hawaii on 31 August 2016, as a tropical storm with 60 kt (69 mph) winds, approaching from the south-east.
The archive holds 30 official forecast packages for Madeline, issued between 26 August 2016 and 3 September 2016. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 46 nm |
| 48 h | 66 nm |
| 72 h | 106 nm |