Hurricane Ulika (2016)
- September 2016
- Category 1 peak
Ulika came within 328 km of Hawaii, passing to the south-east as post-tropical remnants on 2 October 2016. It had peaked far out at sea at 65 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Only 18 official forecasts survive in the archive, all issued more than a day before the closest pass, so the replay stops early. Forecasts issued from Honolulu in this era were never written into the digital record.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
- Peak intensity
- 65 kt (75 mph) Category 1
- Lowest pressure
- 992 mb
- Closest pass
- 328 km (204 mi) from Hawaii
- When
- 2 October 2016
- Distance from Honolulu
- 663 km (412 mi)
- Lifetime
- 8 days 25 September 2016 – 3 October 2016
- Official forecasts
- 18
- Approached from the
- south-east
The closest pass
At its closest, Ulika was 328 km (204 mi) from Hawaii on 2 October 2016, as a remnant low with 25 kt (29 mph) winds, approaching from the south-east.
The forecasts
The archive holds 18 official forecast packages for Ulika, issued between 26 September 2016 and 30 September 2016. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 33 nm |
| 48 h | 89 nm |
| 72 h | 150 nm |