Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Orlene passed directly over Hawaii as a tropical depression on 14 September 1992. It had peaked far out at sea at 125 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Only 43 official forecasts survive in the archive, all issued more than a day before the closest pass, so the replay stops early. Forecasts issued from Honolulu in this era were never written into the digital record.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisoryAt its closest, Orlene was 8 km (5 mi) from Hawaii on 14 September 1992, as a tropical depression with 25 kt (29 mph) winds, approaching from the south.
The archive holds 43 official forecast packages for Orlene, issued between 2 September 1992 and 13 September 1992. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 72 nm |
| 48 h | 163 nm |
| 72 h | 258 nm |