Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Lester came within 163 km of Oahu, passing to the north-east as a tropical storm on 4 September 2016. It had peaked far out at sea at 125 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 57 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 62 km from Hawaii.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Lester was 163 km (101 mi) from Oahu on 4 September 2016, as a tropical storm with 55 kt (63 mph) winds, approaching from the north-east.
The archive holds 57 official forecast packages for Lester, issued between 24 August 2016 and 7 September 2016. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 24 nm |
| 48 h | 38 nm |
| 72 h | 61 nm |