Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Olivia passed directly over Maui as a tropical storm on 12 September 2018. It had peaked far out at sea at 115 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 53 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 2 km from Maui.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Olivia was 3 km (2 mi) from Maui on 12 September 2018, as a tropical storm with 40 kt (46 mph) winds, approaching from the south.
The archive holds 53 official forecast packages for Olivia, issued between 1 September 2018 and 14 September 2018. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 34 nm |
| 48 h | 44 nm |
| 72 h | 54 nm |