Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Erick came within 303 km of Hawaii, passing to the south as a tropical storm on 2 August 2019. It had peaked far out at sea at 115 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 36 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 146 km from Hawaii.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Erick was 303 km (188 mi) from Hawaii on 2 August 2019, as a tropical storm with 50 kt (58 mph) winds, approaching from the south.
The archive holds 36 official forecast packages for Erick, issued between 27 July 2019 and 5 August 2019. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 45 nm |
| 48 h | 84 nm |
| 72 h | 125 nm |