Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Norman came within 434 km of Hawaii, passing to the north-east as a category 1 hurricane on 7 September 2018. It had peaked far out at sea at 130 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 46 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 385 km from Hawaii.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Norman was 434 km (270 mi) from Hawaii on 7 September 2018, as a hurricane with 75 kt (86 mph) winds, approaching from the north-east.
The archive holds 46 official forecast packages for Norman, issued between 28 August 2018 and 8 September 2018. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 37 nm |
| 48 h | 72 nm |
| 72 h | 110 nm |