Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Karina came within 1029 km of Hawaii, passing to the east as a tropical storm on 7 September 2026. It had peaked far out at sea at 125 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 42 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 415 km from Molokai.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest pass so far, Karina was 1,029 km (639 mi) from Hawaii with 40 kt (46 mph) winds. The closest official forecast so far brings its centre within 415 km (258 mi) of Molokai. These numbers move with every advisory.
The archive holds 42 official forecast packages for Karina, issued between 27 August 2026 and 7 September 2026. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 22 nm |
| 48 h | 24 nm |
| 72 h | 46 nm |
Headlines collected while the storm is in progress; they link to their publishers, not to this archive.