Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Lowell came within 62 km of Niihau, passing to the west as a category 2 hurricane on 8 September 2026. It had peaked far out at sea at 140 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 58 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 60 km from Niihau.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest pass so far, Lowell was 62 km (39 mi) from Niihau with 95 kt (109 mph) winds. The closest official forecast so far brings its centre within 60 km (37 mi) of Niihau. These numbers move with every advisory.
The archive holds 58 official forecast packages for Lowell, issued between 27 August 2026 and 11 September 2026. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 34 nm |
| 48 h | 67 nm |
| 72 h | 110 nm |
Headlines collected while the storm is in progress; they link to their publishers, not to this archive.