Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Ignacio came within 376 km of Maui, passing to the north-east as a category 1 hurricane on 1 September 2015. It had peaked far out at sea at 125 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 00:00 UTC on 27 August 2015 the official forecast had it passing within 2 km of Oahu about 160 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Ignacio was 376 km (234 mi) from Maui on 1 September 2015, as a hurricane with 65 kt (75 mph) winds, approaching from the north-east.
The archive holds 45 official forecast packages for Ignacio, issued between 25 August 2015 and 5 September 2015. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 35 nm |
| 48 h | 72 nm |
| 72 h | 108 nm |