Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Fernanda came within 397 km of Hawaii, passing to the south as post-tropical remnants on 21 August 2011. It had peaked far out at sea at 60 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 21 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 184 km from Hawaii.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Fernanda was 397 km (247 mi) from Hawaii on 21 August 2011, as a remnant low with 25 kt (29 mph) winds, approaching from the south.
The archive holds 21 official forecast packages for Fernanda, issued between 14 August 2011 and 20 August 2011. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 38 nm |
| 48 h | 58 nm |
| 72 h | 100 nm |