Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Fausto came within 319 km of Molokai, passing to the north-east as post-tropical remnants on 29 July 2026. It had peaked far out at sea at 90 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 18:00 UTC on 24 July 2026 the official forecast had it passing within 18 km of Oahu about 116 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest pass so far, Fausto was 319 km (198 mi) from Molokai with 30 kt (35 mph) winds. The closest official forecast so far brings its centre within 18 km (11 mi) of Oahu. These numbers move with every advisory.
The archive holds 43 official forecast packages for Fausto, issued between 19 July 2026 and 29 July 2026. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 29 nm |
| 48 h | 32 nm |
| 72 h | 37 nm |
Headlines collected while the storm is in progress; they link to their publishers, not to this archive.