Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Ela came within 200 km of Molokai, passing to the north-east as post-tropical remnants on 12 July 2015. Across 13 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 81 km from Kauai.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Ela was 200 km (124 mi) from Molokai on 12 July 2015, as a remnant low with 20 kt (23 mph) winds, approaching from the north-east.
The archive holds 13 official forecast packages for Ela, issued between 8 July 2015 and 12 July 2015. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 68 nm |
| 48 h | 125 nm |
| 72 h | 200 nm |