Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Emilia came within 279 km of Hawaii, passing to the south-west as a category 3 hurricane on 22 July 1994. It had peaked far out at sea at 140 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 37 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 191 km from Niihau.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisoryAt its closest, Emilia was 279 km (173 mi) from Hawaii on 22 July 1994, as a hurricane with 100 kt (115 mph) winds, approaching from the south-west.
The archive holds 37 official forecast packages for Emilia, issued between 16 July 1994 and 25 July 1994. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 60 nm |
| 48 h | 94 nm |
| 72 h | 128 nm |