Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Daniel came within 192 km of Maui, passing to the north-east as a tropical storm on 1 August 2000. It had peaked far out at sea at 110 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 06:00 UTC on 29 July 2000 the official forecast had it passing within 2 km of Maui about 58 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Daniel was 192 km (119 mi) from Maui on 1 August 2000, as a tropical storm with 60 kt (69 mph) winds, approaching from the north-east.
The archive holds 52 official forecast packages for Daniel, issued between 23 July 2000 and 5 August 2000. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 61 nm |
| 48 h | 129 nm |
| 72 h | 200 nm |