Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Cosme came within 293 km of Hawaii, passing to the south as a tropical depression on 21 July 2007. It had peaked far out at sea at 65 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 12:00 UTC on 17 July 2007 the official forecast had it passing within 3 km of Hawaii about 99 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Cosme was 293 km (182 mi) from Hawaii on 21 July 2007, as a tropical depression with 30 kt (35 mph) winds, approaching from the south.
The archive holds 35 official forecast packages for Cosme, issued between 14 July 2007 and 23 July 2007. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 53 nm |
| 48 h | 102 nm |
| 72 h | 148 nm |