Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Calvin came within 139 km of Hawaii, passing to the south as a tropical storm on 19 July 2023. It had peaked far out at sea at 110 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. At 00:00 UTC on 13 July 2023 the official forecast had it passing within 3 km of Hawaii about 156 hours later — considerably closer than it eventually came.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Calvin was 139 km (86 mi) from Hawaii on 19 July 2023, as a tropical storm with 45 kt (52 mph) winds, approaching from the south.
The archive holds 33 official forecast packages for Calvin, issued between 11 July 2023 and 19 July 2023. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 26 nm |
| 48 h | 34 nm |
| 72 h | 51 nm |