Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Celia came within 182 km of Kauai, passing to the north as post-tropical remnants on 19 July 2016. It had peaked far out at sea at 85 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Only 39 official forecasts survive in the archive, all issued more than a day before the closest pass, so the replay stops early. Forecasts issued from Honolulu in this era were never written into the digital record.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisory
At its closest, Celia was 182 km (113 mi) from Kauai on 19 July 2016, as a remnant low with 35 kt (40 mph) winds, approaching from the north.
The archive holds 39 official forecast packages for Celia, issued between 6 July 2016 and 16 July 2016. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 34 nm |
| 48 h | 44 nm |
| 72 h | 58 nm |